Monkey Knife Fight Picks: College Basketball March Madness Final Four DFS Picks for Saturday



The college basketball tournament has reached the Final Four, which means a great day of Fantasy Basketball on Saturday and Monkey Knife Fight has contests to make the games even more fun.

  • The second seed from the Midwest Region, the Houston Cougars take on the Baylor Bears, the top seed from the South Region, in a battle of Texas schools. Houston has had close calls against Rutgers and Oregon State on their way to the Final Four. Baylor defeated Arkansas by nine in the Elite Eight and that was their closest margin of victory in four tournament games.

  • On the other side of the bracket UCLA takes on Gonzaga. After winning a play-in game against Michigan State, the UCLA Bruins entered the main tournament bracket as the 11th seed in the West Region. They cruised through to the Elite Eight, where they won a 51-49 grind against top-seeded Michigan. Gonzaga is the top-ranked team in the tournament and the No. 1 seed in the West Region. They have steamrolled the competition with their second-round win over Oklahoma counting as their closest game, and Gonzaga won that game by 16 points. If UCLA is going to continue this Cinderella story, they are going to have to earn it against the heavily favored Bulldogs.

Here are some Monkey Knife Fight picks angles to keep in mind when playing Saturday’s Final Four college basketball contests on MKF.

 

🏀 HOUSTON-BAYLOR


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Quentin Grimes MORE THAN 16.5 POINTS

Houston’s junior guard and leading scorer is putting up 18.0 points per game and has scored at least 17 points in nine of the past 11 games. He has attempted at least eight three-pointers in 10 of those 11 games.

MaCio Teague MORE THAN 16.5 POINTS

The senior Houston guard is averaging 15.9 points per game but has some dramatic fluctuations in productivity. He has score more than 20 points four times in the past seven games, including 22 points against Arkansas in the Elite Eight, but he was also held to a single digit point total in two of the past three games.

Jared Butler LESS THAN 27.5 FANTASY POINTS

Baylor’s leading scorer, the junior guard, has averaged nearly 32 fantasy points per game this season but his production is way down during the tournament and it’s hard to envision a Final Four game as the one in which Butler busts out of a slump that has seen him shoot 35.8% in the past five games.

Davion Mitchell MORE THAN 27.5 FANTASY POINTS

Baylor’s junior guard is averaging almost 29.8 fantasy points per game this season but his production was down in last weekend’s games, as Mitchell averaged 25.2 fantasy points per game in the second weekend of the tournament after putting up 34.7 fantasy points per game in the first weekend. His ability to generate steals can be a difference maker.

Rapidfire

DeJon Jarreau +1.5 REBOUNDS vs. Mark Vital

Jarreau, Houston’s senior guard, has been effective on the glass, grabbing 6.5 rebounds per game in the past nine games and that includes the first-round game against Cleveland State in which Jarreau played just one minute due to a hip injury. Vital is a sturdy 6-foot-5 guard who had four rebounds while fouling out in just 18 minutes against Arkansas but had averaged 10.0 rebounds per game in the six games before that. His ceiling is certainly higher but he is such a risk for fouls that it could allow Jarreau to at least keep this close.

 

🏀 UCLA-GONZAGA


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Drew Timme MORE THAN 19.5 POINTS

The sophomore forward leads Gonzaga with 19.0 points per game and has scored more than 20 points in each of the past three games. Timme is efficient, shooting 64.4% from the field in those three games. UCLA would probably like to slow down the pace. It worked for them in the Elite Eight against Michigan, so there is some risk that maybe Timme won’t get enough looks to go for 20 points again but Gonzaga has scored at least 80 points in 11 of the past 12 games and they scored 78 in the one game in which they didn’t score 80.

Johnny Juzang MORE THAN 15.5 POINTS

UCLA’s leading scorer, the sophomore guard is averaging 15.5 points per game for the season but he scored 28 of Gonzaga’s 51 points in the win over Michigan. He has score more than 15 points in four of UCLA’s five tournament games, including their play-in victory over Michigan State to get this whole thing started.

Corey Kispert LESS THAN 17.5 POINTS

Kispert is averaging 18.9 points per game, which is just behind Timme in the Gonzaga scoring list, but Kispert has not been as productive recently. In the past six games, he has scored 18 or more points twice (and one of those games was exactly 18 points).

Jalen Suggs LESS THAN 30.5 FANTASY POINTS

The freshman guard is a versatile talent who could be a top three selection in the NBA Draft. He is averaging 14.0 points, 5.5 rebounds, 4.5 assists, and 1.9 steals per game. His average game has earned Suggs nearly 31 points per game but the potential for UCLA to slow down the pace does make it at least possible that Suggs is held in check.

Tyger Campbell MORE THAN 4.5 ASSISTS

In the past 10 games, the sophomore UCLA guard has alternated going over and under this number, and in the Elite Eight he finished with just two assists against Michigan. His recent trend would suggest that a bounce-back performance is in order.

Rapidfire

Jules Bernard +0.5 REBOUNDS vs. Joel Ayayi

Ayayi, the junior guard for Gonzaga, has become a consistent rebounder late in the season, averaging 8.0 rebounds per game in the past six but Bernard has been similarly effective for UCLA, grabbing 7.5 rebounds per game in the past six games.

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*The contests listed in this article are subject to change leading up to tip-off of each respective game*

 


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Scott Cullen

Scott is a sportswriter with a focus on analytics, rankings, fantasy. Even though he’s Canadian, his interests and analysis extend a wee bit beyond hockey and maple syrup. Eh?