Monkey Knife Fight Picks: Eagle Eye PGA DFS Picks for the Valspar Championship



This week’s stop on the PGA Tour is the Valspar Championship and Monkey Knife Fight’s Eagle Eye contest adds some spice to the event.

The Eagle Eye Fantasy Golf contest allows you to pick three golfers for your team and if all three make an eagle in this tournament, you get a share of this week’s $5000 prize pool, which rolled over from the RBC Heritage.

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The Valspar Championship is played at Innisbrook Resort, Copperhead Course in Palm Harbor, Florida.

I have a few guidelines for making Eagle Eye Monkey Knife Fight picks:

  • First, aim for players who are playing well. The odds are against getting an eagle in the first place, let alone if you miss the cut and saw your number of chances in half. So start with players that are at least having some reasonable recent success on the tour because they might have a better shot at playing all four rounds.

  • Then seek out the players with a good eagle rate. Some players play a steady game – fairways and greens like David Simms in Tin Cup – while others might have more highs and lows. When it comes to hunting eagles, it’s worth taking a shot at players that might have more peaks and valleys on the scorecard.

  • Also, consider players with success at that specific course. If they have had positive results at Innisbrook Resort in the past, that familiarity has to give them some edge on a player who either lacks experience on that course or has not had success on that course previously.

  • Finally, keep your fingers crossed because you will still need some luck. Eagles are rare events and while it makes sense to target the players who tend to fare well on par fives, because those are the most likely sources of eagles, they are not the only possibilities. An ace on a par three counts, too.

Here are some possibilities to consider when making your MKF Eagle Eye picks for this week’s Valspar Championship!

⛳ EAGLE EYE

PAUL CASEY

This is suddenly Casey’s course as he is coming off back-to-back wins in 2018 and 2019. He knows the course, has had great success at the course, and that success included eagling the fifth hole in 2019.

 

Casey missed the cut at his last tournament, the RBC Heritage, but that snapped a streak of eight straight which included four Top 10 finishes. Casey’s eagle rate of one every 120 holes this season is not particularly strong but he is getting picked for his prowess at this specific course.

BUBBA WATSON

Bubba is a notorious big hitter who tied for fourth at The Valspar Championship in 2019 and has one of the best eagle rates on The Tour. His rate of 62.2 holes per eagle ranks fourth behind Justin Suh, Bryson DeChambeau, and Ryan Palmer.

JUSTIN ROSE

Rose finished seventh at The Masters in early April then was tied for 11th last week at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans. He does not always play the Valspar Championship but has three Top 10 finishes at Innisbrook, going back to when it was the Transitions Championship.

That includes a fifth-place finish in 2018, when Rose eagled the 11th hole.

 

Some others to consider:

RYAN PALMER

A consistent veteran whose last missed cut was US Open in September and ranks third in eagle rate this season.

KEEGAN BRADLEY

Tied for fourth last week and has made seven straight cuts.

JASON KOKRAK

Tied for second at Valspar in 2019. He aced the 15th hole in 2019 and eagled the first hole in 2018.

LOUIS OOSTHUIZEN

Finished in second place last week at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans and second place at the 2019 Valspar Championship, when he eagled the first hole.

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Scott Cullen

Scott is a sportswriter with a focus on analytics, rankings, fantasy. Even though he’s Canadian, his interests and analysis extend a wee bit beyond hockey and maple syrup. Eh?