Week 15 Sunday TD Dance Picks



I’m @itsharristime of True North Fantasy Football and I will be here to guide you through my Touchdown Dance selections on a weekly basis throughout this season. 

My analysis will be broken down into three sections:

  1. Dancing With The Stars
  2. Two To Tango
  3. The Big Dance

"Dancing With the Stars" focuses on the early slate and three stars who I love their chances of getting into the endzone. Two to Tango’ are two games that I like with sneaky touchdown upside. β€˜The Big Dance; will focus on the main event that I am targeting and should prove to be the matchup with the largest potential for explosive play.

Dance Monkey Dance!: The $5,000 TD Dance giveaway is BACK for Week 15. Rules are easy: enter any early slate TD Dance game and have all THREE players score a touchdown for a chance to win a piece of a $5,000 prize pot. This is on top of all the loot you'll put in your pocket from your regular TD Dance goodness (you must play a minimum of one $5 contest)!

Need help getting started? Here's a Star Shootout lineup for the late games that will give you a good shot at your share of the $5K:

Dancing With The Stars 

  • Cam Akers, RB, Los Angeles Rams
  • Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints
  • Nick Chubb, RB, Cleveland Browns

Two To Tango

Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts, Sun, 1:05 pm ET

Can we say it? Are we able to declare it Jonathan Taylor time in Indianapolis? Over the last two games Taylor has been fantasy's RB5 and RB2, and against the Raiders he scored two touchdowns in a blowout Colts win. Even before this recent TD production, Taylor's usage was sound in the Redzone. Taylor ranks 11th in Redzone touches, and should be a good dance partner this Sunday against a Texans run defense that has allowed the second most fantasy points to opposing running backs. What we really hope for is continued targets for Taylor to make him a threat anywhere on the field; Taylor ranks first in running back yards per reception with 9.2. Taylor used his pass catching skills in the first meeting between these two teams for a TD and 44 receiving yards to go along with the 91 yards on the ground. This is a smash spot for Jonathon Taylor to continue to show why the Colts drafted him in the 2nd round.


It also seems that fellow Colt T.Y Hilton has something to prove this season, coming back from the dead to light up the league down the stretch. Over the last two weeks, Hilton has been a top ten wide receiver posting 196 receiving yards and 3 TDs. Now that Hilton is seemingly healthy, he's been Phillip Rivers main target, out targeting rookie Michael Pittman 23-19 through the last three games. The target volume and health is there for Hilton and the matchup is prime: the Texans have given up 16 TDs to wide receivers this season, and gave up 110 YDs and a TD to Hilton in Week 13. 

Another TD dancer in the first AFC showdown between these two teams was running back David Johnson. DJ put up a TD coming back from concussion, and, will be back in this game after being designated to the COVID-19 list due to close contact. This extra week of rest could benefit Johnson as he's logged some tough miles on his 29-year-old body, and being put on IR for a concussion is a rarity. This rest, and DJ's ability to convert in the Redzone (22% TD conversion on Redzone touches) makes him the best option from this injured, suspension-ridden Texans team to score this weekend. 

My Dance Partners:

  • Jonathon Taylor, RB, IND
  • T.Y Hilton, WR, IND
  • David Johnson, RB, HOU

Philadelphia Eagles @ Arizona Cardinals, Sun, 4:10pm ET

It has been painful to watch the Eagles this season, and it has been especially taxing for fantasy players who leaned in heavily on the Eagles expecting a high octane offense. The play of rookie QB Jalen Hurts has breathed life into the Eagles offense since been giving the reigns of the Eagles offense. In particular, Hurts ability in run game has allowed Miles Sanders to showoff the incredible upside that Sanders flashed in his rookie season. Against the New Orleans No. 2 ranked run defense, Hurts mobility accounted for 106 rushing yards and allowed Sanders to have his best game of the season with 136 rushing yards and two TDs. Sanders has been quietly good all season when given the ball, ranking third in yards per carry (5.7), and has seen a decent snap share (75%). It has been the play calling by Doug Pederson that has hurt Sanders with the Eagles ranking 25th in run plays per game. With Hurts in town, this has changed the running game from 11, 18 and 32 attempts in Weeks 12, 13 and 14. This continued commitment to the run by the Eagles will be a problem for the Cardinals who have not seen an dynamic back like Sanders this season.

The Cardinals have their own dynamic back in Kenyan Drake who hopes to extend a four-game TD streak against an Eagles run defense that has given up 13 TDs to running backs on the season. Drake has been used as the Cardinals' Redzone weapon, seeing 4.2 RZ touches a game and currently ranks second in the league for goal line carries with 15. You don't exactly picture Drake as a goal line grinder, yet he is getting the job done with nine TDs on the year. The current game total is over 45+, and with Kyler Murray still recovering from a shoulder issue, you should expect Drake to continue to see the Redzone work for the Cardinals.

And if the Cardinals are going to get to score, it will be from the work of elite wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins. Nuk' has fit in seamlessly as the alpha wide receiver in Arizona, and is only 100 yards shy of his 2019 total receiving yards with three games to go. The narrative around adjusting to a new quarterback didn't bother Hopkins and he should be productive against an Eagles secondary that has given up four 100+ yard games to Tyler Boyd, Chase Claypool, D.K Metcalf and Davante Adams

This battle of the birds should prove to be a great dance-off between two young, exciting and mobile quarterbacks. Fire up all of your best birds in this one which is my second favorite matchup of the weekend. 

My Dance Partners:

  • Miles Sanders, RB, PHI
  • Kenyan Drake, RB, AZ
  • DeAndre Hopkins, WR, AZ

 

The Big Dance

Kansas City Chiefs @ New Orleans Saints, Sun, 4:05 pm ET

It's hard not to anoint this matchup up in the Big Easy between the Chiefs and the Saints as your favorite on the weekend. A cross conference matchup between two high octane offenses in a dome with both teams having Super Bowl aspirations? This is the type of matchup we crave for fantasy purposes, and with a predicted game total over 50, it should not disappoint. Mix in the potential return of Saints quarterback and future Hall of Famer Drew Brees, and the plot thickens.

The return of Brees has to make you like Alvin Kamara's potential TD dancing in this game. With Brees under center, Kamara was Brees No. 1 target and was producing like a WR1, averaging 72 yards receiving yards a game. After Brees injury in Week 10, Kamara  averaged only 12.75 receiving yards a game and with wide receiver Michael Thomas out with an ankle injury, Kamara could get back to the type of target volume that made him the RB1 through the first 10 weeks. Mix this with Kamara's efficiency as a rusher and his 8 goal line carries on the year, you've got to love Kamara to take the lead role for the Saints in this matchup against the Chiefs. 

The lead role for the Chiefs of course goes to reigning Super Bowl MVP quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Close behind him though is scariest pass catching tandem in the league in tight end Travis Kelce and wide receiver Tyreek Hill. These two have been nearly unstoppable all season combining for 2670 receiving yards and a total of 25 touchdowns. To put that in perspective, that is 511 yards more than the TOTAL season long passing yards of the New York Jets.



Kelce and Hill have been matchup proof producing against the tough defenses of Baltimore, Buffalo, Tampa Bay and Miami. Though the Saints defense is good, don't overthink this: get ready to do some dancing with the Chiefs pass catching duo in what might just be a Super Bowl preview. 

My Dance Partners:

  • Alvin Kamara, RB, NO
  • Travis Kelce, TE, KC
  • Tyreek Hill, WR, KC


PLAY NOW

Need more MKF picks for Sunday? Check out Scott Cullen's top MKF picks to play for Week 15.

 

Will Harris

I’m @itsharristime of True North Fantasy Football & founder of the CNBBCL. I've teamed with MKF to be your weekly guide for Touchdown Dance selections throughout the season